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UN Biofuels Food Fight

World Food Summit Attacks Ethanol

By Sam Hopkins
Thursday, June 12th, 2008

Dear Friend,

Sam Hopkins originally wrote the following article for Green Chip International premium subscribers, but the second I read it I told Sam he hit the nail right on the head and we had to get it to a wider audience.

The long and short of it is that renewable energy investment can be dizzying. As Sam tells here, politicians are now assailing biofuels as a "hazardous distortion" of the international food trade and even as a "crime against humanity."

But real insight and advantage comes from looking at the big picture and investing with the world in mind.

Sam's going to be over in Europe very soon, visiting companies and exploring new technologies. He'll tell Green Chip International subscribers about them all, with emphasis on ideas that will be lucrative for years—not just until the political breeze changes direction.

Regards,

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Jeff Siegel

A Biofuels Food Fight at the UN

If knee-jerk reactions could power cars and planes, the world's politicians could replace fossil fuels in a matter of months.

At the beginning of June, the United Nations World Food Summit turned into a tag-team tirade against biofuels.

At home, leaders like Egypt's Hosni Mubarak and Mexico's Felipe Calderon are dealing with riots over skyrocketing food prices—increases that many market observers blame on interest in growing crops for fuel rather than human consumption.

I don't need to remind you, but last year around this time you could pick up any major newspaper and read about the wonder and promising riches of ethanol and biodiesel.

Now, politics is turning heads of state against ethanol and other fuels, even though most countries have no better alternative proposals.

At Green Chip Stocks and Green Chip International, we've always promoted the order of operations that will get us off of fossil fuel addiction...

  • First, reduce consumption.
  • Second, start investing in solutions to fill lower energy needs.
  • Third, bring those ideas to market and let technologies and efficient methods compete.

What happened instead was a frenzy to plant as much corn (or sugar, or palm trees) as possible while speculators bid up prices on the world's commodity exchanges.

That market mania—not biofuels being a rotten proposition—is what got us riots.

Biofuels are especially not a bad idea where they are maximally efficient, like in Brazil.

That's where we've recommended Cosan (NYSE:CZZ) instead of chasing corn-based opportunities from North America that produce far less fuel per acre than Brazilian sugar-based ethanol.

Corn is also more water intensive and has far less of a track record than Brazil's national Pro-Alcohol program.

"I am not in favor of producing ethanol from corn," Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva told the gathering of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization.

He also called blaming biofuels for high food prices an "oversimplification," which we agree with completely.

The resistance of countries with heavy farm subsidies (like the U.S.) to importing more efficient biofuel supplies from Brazil not only hinders fuel progress, it also runs completely against the core tenets of free trade and comparative advantage.

So that's why we're sticking with Cosan and eschewing more speculative, wasteful fuel companies. We are very bullish on household electricity resources like wind energy and solar, and of course technologies to reduce consumption.

But we will never sway in the breeze like political leaders or fickle speculators. Green Chip International is about investing in long-term solutions, and that's how you get real long-term profits.

Kind regards,

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Sam Hopkins

P.S. We're coming out with two new GCI recommendations in the next week, based on Europe's booming renewable energy industry and my upcoming trip to see progress across the pond, first-hand. Don't miss these winning plays and my on-location reports throughout July. Sign up for GCI today.


Editor's Note: From solar and wind to geothermal and biofuels, Green Chip readers want to know which renewable energy resource will take over where fossil fuels leave off. The answer is...all of the above!

There is no one single solution to today's energy crisis. However, the combination of all viable renewable energy resources, coupled with energy efficiency, conservation and smart grid development will not only lead us to energy independence and a cleaner, more sustainable energy infrastructure — but also to what will soon prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21st Century.





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Comments:

Comment by Juliette Anthony on 2008-06-12
I think you need to do deeper research on Brazil's sugarcane ethanol. First of all, it only meets 40% of their fuel needs. The rest is met by good oil resources. Second, Brazil has a small very concentrated population in several large cities with way fewer cars per capita than the U.S., most particularly U.S. cities. Personal reports from visitors there in the past year tell me that the air quality is truly terrible in Sao Paolo and Rio de Janeiro, eyes sting, throats get scratchy, etc. In addition, sugarcane is a labor intensive crop to harvest and labor is cheap and very badly treated. Growing fuel is not any answer. Cellulosic ethanol has been subsidized by the U.S. government since 1974 when the ethanol industry was given 25 million dollars to "research & develop cellulosic ethanol." (Renewable Fuels Foundation website). They have not been able to come up with a marketable product yet. Meantime, corn ethanol is hardly a bridge to the future that we want to be stuck on. It's side effects, so to speak, are deleterious to the soil, feed for dairy, chicken, beef and hogs as corn has risen so high in cost that they are having difficulty absorbing the cost. Furthermore, corn ethanol is drawing down water dangerously in Michigan, and could do so in California as well. Ethanol is a limited solution, very limited. Juliette Anthony, M.A., M.S. Renewable Energy Consultant, California
Comment by Matthew on 2008-06-13
Biofuels have received a great amount of negative attention which is unfortunate since there are companies producing biofuel without using edible feedstocks. For example, in the case of Nova Biosource Fuels, the company is currently producing biodiesel that do not depend on edible feedstocks. Nova’s business strategy is to utilize the lowest feedstocks derived from animal by products, waste, used greases, etc and their patented non water wash process to deliver biodiesel that is above industry specifications, which they have done so and are (llink below) to give them a competitive edge in the market. Their first 60 million gallon plant in Seneca IL has commissioned two of its three 20 million gallon a year trains and is close to announce the third train as fully commissioned in the following weeks. Note the industry only produced roughly 450 – 550 million gallons of biodiesel in 2007. Thus to say Nova will become a large player in the industry at the end of this year. This has been accomplished through Nova’s steady strategic plan to successfully built three plants for third parties and then use this knowledge to build their own plants (Seneca IL). Nova is projected to show revenue in FY09 in the range of $250 400M range (dependent on diesel prices) and become profitable as soon as 4th qtr 2008 or 1st qtr 2009. I would highly recommend Green Chips to perform its DD on the company. Did I mention its management team is made up by former bio oil executives. At the current PPS it may provide a low entry point, granted it is highly speculative, but each following qtr the company is proving they are on track, proiducing and selling biodiesel, and growing their business.
Comment by John Whitman on 2008-06-13
I haven't seen much in your articles about algae but since Sam is going overseas could he investigate Bio-King from the Netherlands as they seem to be one of the world leaders in developing commercial algae production.
Comment by Bill Olliges on 2008-06-13
Much progress has been made on conversion of Algae to diesel fuel, and some pilot plants have seen a success. Why no national push for this technology that can be more than 60 times productive than soybeans ?
Comment by JCS on 2008-06-14
Id does promise to bring in the debate about the food price crisis, yet it does not deliver much... the long term cost of any, listen, any biofuel is substantially higher than the current costs of oil!!... there is not argument, rational, economic, and environmental, that would support for a second the rational of promoting biofuels... more info is needed to show your site the human, food and environmental impact of biofuels, in south Brazil, and specially Colombia, where technocrats are fueling right wing paramilitary groups in the internal war, increasing poverty and human displacement by taking over near 70000 square kms.to produce palm... I do not believe investing in blood biofuels or similar ventures is the way to go...
Comment by LarrWayne on 2008-06-23
Kudzu ethanol appears to be the best solution.
Comment by Harry Lee on 2008-08-02
There are two crops that could produce the greatest amounts and efficiencies in biofuel production and could realistically replace all the foreign oil America imports. #1, Commercial Algae as proven in the taxpayer funded "National Aquatic Species Program" and #2, Industrial Hemp as proven in the National Hemp Task Force Report. For more information see http://www.USA-EnergyIndependence.org