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Obama Geothermal Development

Obama Pushes Geothermal Development...And We Profit

By Jeff Siegel
Tuesday, June 2nd, 2009

It may not be as shiny as solar or as obvious as wind, but no matter how you slice it - geothermal energy is a powerhouse when it comes to renewable energy generation.

As we highlighted in our book, Investing in Renewable Energy: Making Money on Green Chip Stocks...geothermal actually holds significant advantages over other forms of renewable and fossil fuel-based energy.

  • It's one of the cheapest forms of energy

  • It produces almost 50 times less CO2, nitric oxide, and sulfur emissions than conventional fossil fuel power plants

  • It requires no power storage

  • It's perfect for baseload power (power that's generated all the time). Geothermal power plants run at 89 to 97 percent uptime, compared to 75 to 90 percent uptime offered from coal and nuclear

  • The supply of geothermal energy is virtually inexhaustible.

And as my colleague Nick Hodge pointed out in April, geothermal energy capacity is actually expected to grow 89% between now and 2015 - from 11,007 megawatts at the end of 2008 to over 20,800 megawatts in the next 6 years.

That works out to a compounded annual growth rate of 9.5%.

Take a look...

geo

Obama Loves Geothermal

To add more fuel to this geothermal fire, it has become quite obvious that the Obama administration is aggressively pursuing increased geothermal development.

For starters, the recent stimulus set aside $400 million for geothermal. Congress also coughed up $45 million for the DOE's geothermal program, and in March, the DOE announced $84 million worth of funding for enhanced geothermal systems.

And just last week, the President announced another $350 million in Recovery Act funding for geothermal projects!

Here's the breakdown on that one...

  • $140 million for geothermal demonstration projects

  • $80 million for enhanced geothermal systems technology research and development

  • $100 million for innovative exploration techniques

  • $30 million for a national geothermal data system, resource assessment, and classification system.

According to Karl Gawell, executive director of the Geothermal Energy Association, this is more funding now than in the past 20 years.

One company that's certainly going to benefit from all of this is Ormat Technologies (NYSE:ORA).

Now we've been preaching this stock for years. In fact, we first recommended Ormat in January, 2005, when it was trading around $16 a share. And we've been following it ever since.

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Our most recent assessment came in our March 3, 2009 letter. Take a look...

"Ormat Technologies is one of the biggest geothermal players in the market. Vertically-integrated, the company designs, owns and operates a number of geothermal power plants and recovered energy systems across the globe.

Ormat recently announced revenues increased 35.2% in Q4 and 16.5% for fiscal 2008. Net income also increased 31.3% for the quarter and 82% for the year. The stock currently trades around $23 a share. Our 12-month price target is $41."

Today, Ormat trades around $41 a share.

Here's how the stock has performed since the start of the year...

ora

And Ormat isn't the only geothermal stock paying off for Green Chip investors either.

A few weeks ago I told you about a little $0.85 geothermal stock that was significantly undervalued.

That stock is now trading at over $1.70 a share!

Take a look...

htm

But we're expecting much more. And here's why...

Turns out, the DOE is now expected to pony up $84 million for this company to build its next power plant. Certainly that has helped push the stock up, but there's another piece of news that's right around the corner - and it'll push this thing up even higher.

You see, now that the company can build its next power plant - on the DOE's dime - the only major hurdle for the company is securing a power purchase agreement.

Now if you know anything about the energy business, you know that a long-term power purchase agreement is what seals the deal for investors. It's the final piece of the puzzle that guarantees decades-long revenue streams.

And it's what every trend-chaser on Wall Street waits for.

Just look what happened the last time this company announced a power purchase agreement, back in 2007...

htm2

Now here's the important part...

What a lot of folks don't know is that this company is in advanced negotiations for a long-term power purchase agreement - right now.

Once that agreement is signed, and the press release goes out - the stock is going to explode. Just like it did the last time.

If you'd like to read more about this stock, click here now.

To a new way of life, my friend...and a new generation of wealth,

jeff signature

Jeff

http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/12713
 


Editor's Note: From solar and wind to geothermal and biofuels, Green Chip readers want to know which renewable energy resource will take over where fossil fuels leave off. The answer is...all of the above!

There is no one single solution to today's energy crisis. However, the combination of all viable renewable energy resources, coupled with energy efficiency, conservation and smart grid development will not only lead us to energy independence and a cleaner, more sustainable energy infrastructure — but also to what will soon prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21st Century.







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Comments:

Comment by Al Wunsch on 2009-06-02
Several things I wondered about re the above article:Obama Pushes Geothermal Development...And We Profit
By Jeff Siegel

They estimate that we will get 20megawatts in the future - what is the total we use in this country?

Where can geothermal be used in this country?
Comment by Jeff Siegel on 2009-06-03
Hi Al,

According to 2007 numbers from the GEA, the U.S. has about 3,000 MW of geothermal connected to the grid. The GEA also identified 103 projects under development that could potentially supply almost 4,000 MW.

There are geothermal resources all over the United States. But the most robust resources can be find in the western portion of the country.