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Obama Stimulus Plan

Studying the Stimulus: What's Another Trillion at This Point?

By Jeff Siegel
Tuesday, February 10th, 2009

I never really expected to see this latest stimulus plan fly through Congress without some serious debate.

After all, this is a lot of money we're talking about here. And this is on top of what's already been shelled out to failing banks run by CEOs who still don't seem to understand why it's not a good idea to offer billions of dollars in bonuses or spend millions to redecorate offices on the taxpayers' dime... oh, and also while 3.6 million jobs have been lost since December, 2007.

So needless to say, constructive debate is paramount when we're about to get stuck with another $1 trillion bar tab. But there's a fine line between constructive debate and political maneuvering.

Now I'm not saying the Democrats' plan is perfect. Far from it, really. In fact, the initial draft of the Democrat's package includes $2.4 billion for carbon capture technology for coal-fired power plants. As we've written in these pages before, this kind of "clean coal" technology is nothing more than a myth used by the coal industry to greenwash the public. But we're certainly not surprised to see the $2.4 billion inclusion. After all, the Democrats raked in close to $1 million in "contributions" in 2008 from the coal mining industry. And it also wasn't long ago when Democrat Jeff Bingaman circulated a bill that would offer up to $10 billion in direct government loans for coal-to-liquid plants. There isn't a damn thing green or responsible about that.

And of course, last week we had the privilege of listening to U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell call Obama's new vehicle program wasteful spending. I'm referring to Obama's plan to modernize the fleet of federal vehicles to take advantage of the latest in fuel efficiency technology. This is something that will actually save the government (the taxpayers) money, help create manufacturing jobs, and light a fire under Detroit to pump these vehicles out - without excuses and foot-dragging.

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This is not wasteful spending, or "pork" as McConnell likes to call it. And certainly the Kentucky senator should know what pork is. After all, he didn't have a problem pushing $25 million in earmarked funds for BAE, a British defense contractor that was actually under criminal investigation by the U.S. Justice Department at the time. Or what about the $8.3 million earmark for an organization called Voice for Humanity to send pink and silver mp3-style players to Afghanistan? These things contained recordings about womens' rights and democracy. Apparently McConnell also recommended Voice for Humanity get another $15 million to move into Iran and North Korea. This definitely begs the question: Are you serious?!!!

Of course the two parties have come together on some equally confusing ideas as well. Like the $15,000 tax break for homebuyers that they believe will revitalize the housing industry. In theory, this may sound like a step in the right direction. The only problem is, even with the $15,000 tax break, most of these houses are still too expensive for average Americans to afford.

Take Baltimore City for instance. In north Baltimore, in a section called Hampden, you can buy a three-bedroom home in a relatively nice neighborhood for $250,000. The only problem is these homes were going for about $75,000 in 1999. So ten years later, these homes have justifiably increased in value by more than 200 percent? Not a chance. The median income in that area is about $34,000. Based on the old rule of thumb that homes should go for three times the median income, a house in this area should run you around $100,000 - give or take. But thanks to our good friends in Washington who spent years being hypnotized into complacency comas by lobbyists, we now have quarter-of-a-million dollar homes in an area where most folks can barely afford their car payments. And rest assured, it was both Republicans and Democrats that watched this whole debacle unfold - turning a blind eye to both irresponsible lending institutions and irresponsible homebuyers.

Point is, an extra $15,000 is not going to put housing prices within reach of the average, hard-working American. Now I'm not saying I have the answer, but certainly there's an economic and social disconnect here that desperately needs to be addressed. And until it is, this situation is not going to get any better - with or without a stimulus.

Of course, even with all of its flaws, the stimulus does hit on some very important issues, including energy, infrastructure and education. Jobs will be created, a new energy infrastructure heavily weighted in renewables and efficiency will progress, and our schools will finally get the funding and oversight they've so desperately needed for decades. Imagine that!

In the meantime, I suspect Republicans will continue to grasp at straws in an effort to poke holes in anything Obama wants to do, and Democrats will continue to try to rush any kind of legislation through the House, hoping at least half of it sticks before getting called out. But at some point, this economic recovery plan will kick in. And as voters, we must make sure we hold each and every one of these lawmakers accountable, not only for their actions - but for their inactions as well.

Because as Will Rogers once said, "The short memories of American voters is what keeps our politicians in office"

To a new way of life, and a new generation of wealth...

jeff signature

Jeff

 

P.S. The financial crisis isn't just putting a dent in our portfolios and retirement plans. For the parents of today's 13 million-plus American college-bound students, sending their kids to college is getting harder and harder. Given the recession, poorly performing college savings plans, lower home values, tougher credit standards, and steep tuition costs, more parents are finding themselves with less money for college than they'd ever imagined.

For those of you who have one or more college-bound students, we'll be publishing a controversial new report next week, furnished by one of the country's leading college funding advisors. Stay tuned for this special report on how to substantially cut the rising cost of college, and still send your child to the college of their choice.


Editor's Note: From solar and wind to geothermal and biofuels, Green Chip readers want to know which renewable energy resource will take over where fossil fuels leave off. The answer is...all of the above!

There is no one single solution to today's energy crisis. However, the combination of all viable renewable energy resources, coupled with energy efficiency, conservation and smart grid development will not only lead us to energy independence and a cleaner, more sustainable energy infrastructure — but also to what will soon prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21st Century.







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Comments:

Comment by dave mange on 2009-02-10
schools will finally get the funding and accountability they deserve? The pork bill is all about unions, including teachers unions pensions. It has zero to do with economic stimulus - its about pay back to campaign contributors.
Comment by Jerome Rickert on 2009-02-10
This is just a subsidy for the speculators and realtors. That $15,000 will be used to stop having to reduce the price or actually in the American way to raise the price. 6% X $15,000 is another $900 to the realtors. And BTW why were the realtors not hauled in to congress to explain how they led these buyers to the financing that brought on this whole financial mess as they walked away with their commissions
and no exposure to the consequences.

Jerry
Comment by JLB on 2009-02-10
Thanks for commenting on the stimulus bill. How about doing a daily update on developments at DOE and other govt agencies charged with implementing energy-related programs under the new stimulus. I think you can do a better job than the WSJ interview last week with Steve Chu, for example, and the related WSK article. You can draw the implications for investors.
Comment by Donald MacDonald on 2009-02-10
Great article. How true about the short memories of voters. Also, of course, as advertisers found out a long time ago, lies repeated often enough get to be believed. And appeals to voter's fears and resentments, however unsubstantiated, are effective.
Comment by Fer Pina on 2009-02-10
We everery day see how the economy goes down and down, every day we see,listen and read excuses from the goverment,but, nobody see any real solution to the problem, with our money( read, taxpayers) we are given to the miserables the way to spent our money in anything they want whithout control, but, What about the taxpayers?,...What about the people that can't handle to pay morgage because they lost they job or because they can't produce no more money, really we have to go to the botton of the problem and is not to give money to the liars and ceos that are taking our money to do what they want, stop this nonsense,see around for real solucion, stop this bush- sheet.
Comment by Betty Leyerle on 2009-02-10
Thank you for supporting the stimulus package, even with its flaws. I don't believe we can afford the kind of naïveté that would insist there be no politically motivated components to legislation this huge, which must be approved by people across a wide ideological spectrum. Even so,we should not passivly endorse their constructions. I appreciate your criticism of the green-washing “clean coal” component of the stimulus package. As we move further into the on-going “industrial revolution” of our historical moment, I count on Green Chip to help all of us separate the wheat from the chaff.
Comment by Joseph Runsdorf on 2009-02-11
The congress must rush their bills through, lest we find out their continued incompetence, up front rather than months later when there is nothing we can do about it. The truth is, they should have allowed the banks to fail, along with an auto industry that has remained in bed with the oil companies, in addition to manufacturing poorly built vehicles. GM was on the right track once, but abandoned their foresight (see "Who Killed the Electric Car) and then sold the battery technology to an oil company. If they had been allowed to fail they (the entire auto industry) would have been able to renegotiate all of the bad contacts they were forced into by the unions in the first place.
We need sweeping change in our government...as in: everyone out and all new Americans in. Even the guy who ran on the "change" platform seems to be involved in "business as usual". There needs to be real accountability at every level, and heads need to roll!
Comment by dragonfly on 2009-02-12
Please don't fall for the mortgage subsidy myth! All gov't subsidies end up in the hands of the SELLERS. Comment by Jerry was correct but doesn't go far enough.

Imagine you had done your due diligence with a realtor, and you were about to list your house tomorrow at $500,000. Tonight the government announces a $15,000 subsidy to "help" home buyers. Do you list at your planned price or at $515,000?

Subsidies simply raise prices because sellers take account of the increased capability of buyers. Buyers have the same buying power, but the marginal buyers ARE NOW DEPENDENT ON THE GOVT SUBSIDY to afford the home. Only those who lock in current prices and in the interim become eligible for the subsidy would benefit.
Comment by Joe Trainor on 2009-02-13
Jeff,

Your work is both awesome and crucial but there are aspects to clean coal technology that you must consider before always negatively pre-judging every dollar spent on it. It may not be ideal for the USA, but America is a global technology pioneer, and China desperately needs to see advances in this technology. They open a new coal-fired plant every week or so, meaning that even if US and Canadian companies don't see much growth potential for the technologies in North America, there still are the dual benefits of carbon reduction at home and major exports abroad.

Peace,

Joe T