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Investing in Algae Biofuel

The Only Biofuel that Can Take on Oil

By Nick Hodge
Tuesday, July 1st, 2008

When the price of oil rises just one dollar, the Pentagon's fuel expenses climb an astounding $130 million.

So the $50 rise in oil prices over the past six months has taken over a half billion dollar toll on the U.S. government. And that's on your dime.

Obviously the massive machinery needed to transport troops and equipment by air, land and sea is the reason for the military's high fuel use. But just how much does the Defense Department—the government's largest consumer of petroleum products—spend on fuel?

According to Lt. Col. Brian Maka, "we anticipate over the next three months that the increase in fuel costs for the department [will be] $1.2 billion." With a fuel bill like that, you can bet the Pentagon is going to use its huge R&D resources to look for alternative fuels, including algae biofuels.

In fact, back in February, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the Air Force Office of Scientific Research (AFOSR) held a joint summit with outside experts to to discuss a variety of issues related to algae biofuel production for jet fuel.

I know more than a few of you are interested in investing in algae biofuel, so let's take some time to explore the basic economies, capacities and companies associated with algae biofuel production.

Problems with Current Fuels and Biofuels

In order to determine the benefits of algal oil, we first have to identify some of the problems that it could solve. Many of these issues are well-known, but they're certainly worthy of repitition.

The most obvious is a shortage of petroleum reserves and supplies increasingly being attributed to peak oil. And then there's the rapidly rising price of petroleum, which has gone up 90% in the past year—and is constantly breaking new highs.

What's more, the U.S. has a serious energy security problem. We consume 20.7 million barrels per day (bpd), while importing 12.4 million bpd—leaving us 60% dependent on petroleum imports.

And while crop-based biofuels initially offered a glimpse of relief, their contribution to rising fuel prices (even though drought, lower yields and higher demand are the main causes) has led first generation biofuels to essentially be labeled the fourth member of the Axis of Evil.

But what most don't realize is that rising food prices also hurt crop-based biofuels producers, who obviously have to pay higher prices for their feedstocks like corn and soy oil. Soy oil prices, one of biodiesel refiners' favorite feedstocks, have risen more than 35% in the past six months.

So more and more, the industry is realizing that crop-based biodiesel is not the most promising avenue, what with unstable prices and their limited capacity. NREL, for example, deemed that the entire U.S. soybean crop could only provide about 2.5 billion gallons per year (bgy) of biodiesel. And worldwide production of biodiesel from all oilseed crops can only yield 13 bgy.

That's less than a drop in the bucket when you consider U.S. diesel demand alone is 60 bgy. So at the end of the day it's a food vs. fuel issue, not on a cost basis—food prices are going to rise anyway—but on an availability basis.

Benefits of Algae Biofuels

Significant production of algae biofuels could solve a great deal of those problems.

That's because algae, or microalgae, has a much higher productivity potential than crop-based biofuels.

Here's a chart showing various feedstocks and their potential oil yield per acre. (note: g/m2/day is the harvest rate of the algae and % TAG is the percentage of triglycerides

algae biofuel yield chart

These high yields can be attributed to algae's high growth rate, which is often monitored in hours instead of days, and has inputs of only land, sunlight, water, carbon dioxide (potential for carbon credits) and nutrients.

And while deriving fuel oil from algae has been cost prohibitive in the past, oil on its way to $150 per barrel or higher certainly makes it an attractive alternative.

Plus, the algae growth cycle can actually be used as a carbon sequestration mechanism because carbon dioxide is the primary input required by algae to grow. In fact, if the U.S. were to derive all its diesel from algae (60 bgy), the growth of that algae could displace 56% of U.S. power plant emissions.

Growing algae is also very water efficient. Producing enough to make 60 bgy of biodiesel could require as little as 16 trillion gallons of water. To put that in perspective, we use 4,000 trillion gallons of water per year to grow corn in the U.S.

The best part is, algae can grow in brackish, saline and wastewater, further reducing the amount of freshwater needed to grow it. And the nutrients in wastewater actually feed the algae, making it possible to cultivate at any one of the 5,100 wastewater treatment facilities nationwide.

And the benefits go on.

  • No one country (or host of hostile countries) has a monopoly on algae production or the algae production equipment.

  • Algae can grow in temperatures ranging from below freezing to 158 degrees Fahrenheit

  • It is not in direct competition with food crops

  • There are a multitude of algae biofuel value-added byproducts like syngas, high-protein animal feeds, agricultural fertilizers, biopolymers (plastic), glycerin and even ethanol and jet fuel.

Investing in Algae Biofuel Companies

There have been limited investment opportunities so far in the algae biofuel arena despite all its promise and potential. So far, it's been sort of a throw it at the wall and see what sticks kind of strategy.

This is so because of the fair amount of companies pursuing the technology, each keeping their methods and processes under lock and key.

Here's a list of some companies dabbling in algae growth, harvesting and algae biofuel production:

  • GreenShift Corporation (GERS.OB)

  • Nanoforce Inc. (NNFC.PK)

  • Valcent Products Inc. (OTCBB: VCTPF)

  • Green Star Products (Pink Sheets: GSPI)

  • OriginOil, Inc. (OTCBB: OOIL)

  • PetroSun Inc. (Pink Sheets: PSUD)

But don't let the presence of all these tiny companies fool you. This is a legitimate technology also being pursued by the big boys, like Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSA).

If I had to place a bet right now, I'd lean toward OriginOil or Valcent, but that's based purely on proven work and technology development to date.

This is still a nascent industry that's receiving gobs of money in the venture capital realm. When the dust settles, it could be a tiny start-up company (like the one springing up from major research institutions around the country) that find a winning solution.

One thing is for sure, this is exactly the kind of opportunity we love at the Alternative Energy Speculator: new technology with an enormous upside.

As this scenario unfolds, you can be sure those readers will get first crack at any companies capable of bringing algae based fuel to market in a scalable fashion.

So sign up today to make sure you don't miss it, and you'll be taking other alternative energy related profits in the process.

Call it like you see it,

nick hodge

Nick


Editor's Note: From solar and wind to geothermal and biofuels, Green Chip readers want to know which renewable energy resource will take over where fossil fuels leave off. The answer is...all of the above!

There is no one single solution to today's energy crisis. However, the combination of all viable renewable energy resources, coupled with energy efficiency, conservation and smart grid development will not only lead us to energy independence and a cleaner, more sustainable energy infrastructure — but also to what will soon prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21st Century.







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Comments:

Comment by Bill Gordon L Stafford on 2008-07-02
H2 Is the ultimate fuel. Can be produced from waste water and Low Voltage DC Solar Panels or wind
Comment by ddadday on 2008-07-02
Valcent is the one baby. 1/8 acre modules for an estimated 1 million a piece for a total of 8 million to develop one acre. Each acre is expected to produce 100,000 gallons of biodiesel per year. There are 42 gallons in a barrel, so that makes 2380.9 barrels a year. A barrel might cost 150 soon, so a parity we could possibly see about 357,000 in revenue per acre. If they could get an investment for 10 acres, they could pull in close to 4 million a year to begin. Plus the other things they plan to do we could be off to the races. Do the math, 100 acres would bring 35-50 million a year. However, this could take years to masterplan.
Comment by alicia on 2008-07-02
Your article failed to mention a fabulous company called Solazyme out of South San Francisco. They have provided the cleanist algal biofuel called soladiesel and it is being used to power standard mercedes diesels as well as jeeps. Chevron is in business with them. Any reason why they weren't mentioned? Is this a paid for spot????
Comment by Bill K. on 2008-07-02
As a participant in an "insider" group of scientists working in this particular technology, I can tell you that this is going to be huge. Carbon sequestration, fuel generation, and water purification all in a single technique.

The only thing unknown is the time frame, but the endgame is already known: We win...
Comment by Tsvi Bisk on 2008-07-02
The best article on this subject I have ever read.
Comment by Bill Pederson on 2008-07-02
Have they developed an ETF of this industry yet?
Comment by Al on 2008-07-02
An interesting article. Perhaps an opportunity that doesn't raise the price of food. Of course, the problem is that we must first survive the time it will take to bring these technologies to a production status and get a consensus(and energy policy) to get it to market.
Comment by GreEnvy on 2008-07-02
The only company able to 'extract' oil from algae and then re-use the same feedstock for repeated oil production, is International Energy (IENI)... they're not in the list.

They also have a proprietary nutrient delivery system that allows the algae to grow faster than conventional algae stocks.

By the way, this is an excellent article !
Comment by GreEnvy on 2008-07-02
The only company able to 'extract' oil from algae and then re-use the same feedstock for repeated oil production, is International Energy (IENI)... they're not in the list.

They also have a proprietary nutrient delivery system that allows the algae to grow faster than conventional algae stocks.

By the way, this is an excellent article !
Comment by Frank Woodson on 2008-07-02
Not long ago,there was a lot of talk about Hydrogen fuel (cars running on water)today we hear nothing,,,is that because there is no real money for corp-America,,because we can creat our own Hydrogen,, www.water4gas.com will show you how to do it..It should not be about the money,,
SAVE OUR PLANTE EARTH
Comment by JohnE on 2008-07-02
It is important to review reasons, and to see them refined just as was done here. A proper summary of the current state on algae-derived feedstocks.

Significant issues like contamination, containment, access to facilities, harvesting, invasive species, regional diversity, regulation/permitting, airshed concerns, etc were not addressed, but a good and reasonable article still.

Like all agricultural undertakings, there will be bigger challenges than first anticipated, but algae remains the strongest potential in the whole bag of tricks to get us into a promised future for our kids.

I liked the comment on Shell; the one major oil player to carefully monitor. They are doing some very very good work.
Comment by JohnE on 2008-07-02
It is important to review reasons, and to see them refined just as was done here. A proper summary of the current state on algae-derived feedstocks.

Significant issues like contamination, containment, access to facilities, harvesting, invasive species, regional diversity, regulation/permitting, airshed concerns, etc were not addressed, but a good and reasonable article still.

Like all agricultural undertakings, there will be bigger challenges than first anticipated, but algae remains the strongest potential in the whole bag of tricks to get us into a promised future for our kids.

I liked the comment on Shell; the one major oil player to carefully monitor. They are doing some very very good work.
Comment by James A. Bowery on 2008-07-02
If the Pentagon is serious about getting oil from algae, they should fund the O-Prize:

http://www.geocities.com/jim_bowery/oprize.html
Comment by Durwood M. Dugger on 2008-07-02
Like most people covering the explosion in algae oil development companies and as well the companies themselves - you fail to provide even the most minimal economic data regarding the actual production cost comparisons between algae oil based fuel and petroleum based fuel. This isn't new technology - it's been in the development state since WWII. More to the point, the economic hurdles aren't in the cost of producing the algae, but in harvesting and processing the algae into a finished fuel. Before anyone invests in an algae oil development company, they should examine a certified proforma of the companies actual production costs to the point of a finished and storable/salable fuel. From my experience you won't find any companies providing such statements - or having commercial quantities of algae fuel available. "So far, it's been sort of a throw it at the wall and see what sticks kind of strategy." is truly the most accurate statement in the entire article.
Comment by DC on 2008-07-02
Algae does appear to be the only longterm solution. It is not a matter of if, but when. Originoil has made some very meaningful technological gains. Holland claims to have a system for production, but the old saying, buyer beware, is probably well heeded. The main hurdles appear to be harvest and extraction on a cost effective basis.
Comment by michaelmcomber on 2008-07-03
Watch solayme Mercedes in Fields of Fuel { Movie} driving on algae fuel 70% cleaner than petro grown on waste sugar from corn stalks and Chevron has partnered to produce a percent or two in their fuel its here now we need to demand it.
Comment by a911driver on 2008-07-06
it is really hard to determine if this market is viable without some projection on the cost of oil from algae. Anybody have a view?
Comment by JeffS on 2008-07-07
Yes, this is a fine article - the chart that scales the alternative feed-stocks is great - adding columns for other resource requirements including time and cost of refining and specifying the output fuel and other products (mixing output quantities of biodiesel from algae et al. with ethanol from corn and others is a minor flaw unless the numbers have been adjusted for the differences in energy content) still needs a link or to be done.

As I remember, the DOE Aquatic Species Project shut down after concluding that gas would have to rise above $4.00/gal before biofuel from algae would be competitive. Although the cost of gas is there now, the economic assumptions are probably no longer applicable because the open pond cultivation method considered by the DOE scientists has proven problematic - leaving us to search for an alternative. Until we get at least two scalable solutions into production to establish a competitive market, the real cost of cultivation and harvesting remains unknown. The good news is that there have been significant productivity gains processing lipids into biodiesel.

Considering the potential for recycling CO2 from coal fired power plant emissions (algae are partial to the 13.5% concentration found there), I don't understand why utility producers aren't at the head of the list of interested parties. It appears that the only thing they're considering is liquefying the gas and transporting it to underground repositories through pipelines. Even if it worked, at best it'd be a waste of gold plated investment that produces nothing of value but jobs from the process.
Comment by john on 2008-07-17
great article might want to check out start-up company ALGENOL BIOFUELS
Comment by john on 2008-07-17
great article might want to check out start-up company ALGENOL BIOFUELS
Comment by jHensch Farrisen on 2008-07-20
To spare (fotosythesizing) green land, growing algea at sea and in oceans (like seaweeds} must also be stressed as a giant posibility.

Floating seeweedwetlands which could also give extra space to human dwelling, would make the bible profecy that the sea will cease to be, come true.
Comment by Sarah on 2008-08-19
It's so important to look for alternative fuel sources and this one isn't land intensive like corn!
Comment by Eddie on 2008-09-09
I recently visited the Bioking (AlgaeLink)facility in The Netherlands and they provided me with the following "food" requirements to grow one ton of algae:

•CO2 requirements (mass) 2,881 Kg (6338 pounds)
•Nitrogen requirements 81 Kg.
•Phosphorus requirements 11 Kg

1 ton of algae oil has the potential to make 135.6 Gallons per day (according to BioKing) then it is going to take a huge amount of CO2 to feed the algae.

Translation? I would put my money on the CO2 capture business to resell to the Algae oil companies.
Comment by Terri Chiang on 2008-10-08
Thank you for defining our industry in clear and understandable terms for all, great article.

The nice part about this industry, is true foreign fuel independence and room for everyone.

PetroSun is one of the leaders in this field. As an agent of PetroSun, we are ready to offer the pond farmers, and waste water treatment plants a lease to use their property to move forward with the commercial production of algae that will be converted to oil.

Any questions? contact Terri www.biomasspartner.com