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The Cop-15 Summit

The Next Green Profit Catalyst

By Alex Koyfman
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

Today's article comes to us from new Green Chip contributor Alex Koyfman. Holding a degree in law, Alex bring us a unique perspective on the all-important policy side of cleantech development and carbon regulations. With a Russian background, he'll also be able to complement our international coverage. His piece today covers the important COP-15 summit taking place later this year.

Enjoy,

Nick


We've all heard about proposed emissions cuts, gas guzzler taxes, and investor resistance to technologies destined to compete with industries that rely on historically-dominant power sources, such as oil and coal.

What few understand today is that climate change is actually one of the most significant drivers of economy that we're likely to see in our lifetimes.

Where before new sectors opened and prospered in response to technical innovations and the never-ending quest for greater speed, better standardization, and increased volume, we are today — for the first time in history — being influenced by environmental limitations.

And when delegates from 192 nations converge in Copenhagen this December for the historic COP-15 summit, a coordinated multi-national strategy will be drawn up to deal with the predicament.

So whether you accept mainstream scientific opinion regarding climate change, or choose to dismiss it, the facts cannot be disputed.

Enormous resources, both monetary and human, have already been committed to what Billionaire Venture Capitalist John Doerr — the same man who helped bring you household names such as Google and Amazon — has called "nothing less than the re-industrialization of the whole planet."

Below are some of the main reasons why when it comes to cleantech, limitations placed on industry and consumer consumption are a positive economic force.

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New Law Means New Work

With the biggest environment summit since Kyoto set to start in December of this year in Copenhagen, hopes run high for a COP 15-mandated global emissions cut of 50% by the year 2050.

The cleantech market, in turn, is expected to respond to international policies such as this by growing by about half, from its 2007/2008 figure of $5 trillion to nearly $7.5 trillion by the year 2015.

The industry's job market should enjoy similar growth, increasing by as many as 20 million positions by 2030.

In the short term, with recession-related investor restraint still quite strong, cleantech stands today as one of the sole areas where manpower is expected to grow.

Nothing Wakes up the Federal Government like a Good War

Whether the enemy is Nazi Germany or global warming, our government seems to spring back to life when we're forced to band together for a common cause.

And if this is a war, then COP15 is the meeting of the Big Three in Tehran.

With over $85 billion in stimulus spending earmarked for the approaching cleantech tidal wave, the slew of proposed and accepted government projects is the biggest we've seen since the New Deal's public works campaigns of the 1930s.

This monumental undertaking, coupled with an additional 8% reduction in overall per-capita energy consumption, will be the impetus behind trillions in federal and private spending through the first half of the 21st century.

In addition to new power plants, a smart grid system designed to optimize energy allocation and delivery has already received billions in earmarked federal dollars.

For a Glimpse of the Future, Look to the Financiers

Even as the economy receded, venture capital interest in cleantech advanced. Growing by a factor of eight between 2003 and 2008, cleantech is viewed by some Silicon Valley venture capital firms as the "next internet."

As many of the VC firms currently jockeying for early positions are the very same companies that backed a number of our current web and software giants when they were just promising startups, the comparison of cleantech to internet is more than merely anecdotal.

With venture capital investments totaling about $8 billion in 2008 alone, and emissions limitations gaining popularity with legislators as well as consumers worldwide, continued interest in this sector seems inevitable.

Want more proof? With COP - 15 looming, Citi, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley have already published "The Carbon Principles" — a manifesto mapping out the lending strategies of these financial giants in the carbon-regulated global economy of the future.

The conclusion?

Do not view international summits on curbing emissions as a sign of economic or industrial decline.

Quite on the contrary. . .

To the open-minded investor, meetings like the one scheduled to start in Copenhagen at the end of this year are exactly what the doctor ordered to stimulate a receding economy, or an anemic portfolio.

Good Investing,

Alex Koyfman


Editor's Note: From solar and wind to geothermal and biofuels, Green Chip readers want to know which renewable energy resource will take over where fossil fuels leave off. The answer is...all of the above!

There is no one single solution to today's energy crisis. However, the combination of all viable renewable energy resources, coupled with energy efficiency, conservation and smart grid development will not only lead us to energy independence and a cleaner, more sustainable energy infrastructure — but also to what will soon prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21st Century.







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Comments:

Comment by on 2009-08-12
Since all the sheeple will fall for the global warming scam, there will be lots of money to be made.
Count me out as I detest scams
Comment by James Westaway on 2009-08-13
Governments want a 50% reduction in emissions by 2050 (they will all be dead by then!). By then the population, and emissions, will have doubled, so per capita emissions will have to be cut by 75%. At the same time, 75% of the population is currently consuming less than those in developed countries, so we have a proplem of increasing demand from the developing countries, just wanting to catch up. This will mean that Americans, Europeans, Japanese and other wealthy groups will have to cut their per capita emissions by around 90% of current levels in order to hit the reduction target and achieve equitable carbon distribution. I wonder if the governments have factored both population growth and regional demand growth in to their emissions reduction targets?
Comment by Brian Ritter on 2009-08-13
Just because we can make a bunch of money from this Ship of Fools doesn't mean that we want them playing this fool's game with our lives. We need to be doing everything we can to stop their carbon limiting laws. The whole global warming charade is more about increasing government power over the people than it is about climate.
Comment by Jacob on 2009-08-13
Global Warming Charade? Really? Haha. I didn't know people like you still existed. You must prefer random, lobbyist-funded research to real, objective peer-reviewed data. The question is, even though you don't believe it, are you at least smart enough to profit from it? If not, then you truly are a moron.
Comment by joe bianco on 2009-08-19
totally bogus article written by yet another environmental whack job ---get it through your thick heads--the earth is cooling and has been since 1995.the earths temp has not changed in 10 years on ave. stop this nonsense and get a life.Oh but wait, i forgot, this is your life or what you're trying to create along with Goldman Sachs,Warren Buffet,Boone Pickens,Algore and a cast of thousands of misguided sheep.
Comment by harley on 2009-09-23
In reading some of the comments, it appears those who got their PhD's in appropriate fields to qualify them to opine on this article probably got their high science and/or business degrees from University of Phoenix or some such heralded school at the pinnacle of the curb and gutter.

Green is not only common sense, it is common knowledge even among the indigenous populations. They practiced the science of balance and it served them and the earth well and then came the industrial revolution & the filth & greed! Filth is not good; neither is greed!
Comment by RWebb on 2009-09-25
The science is in...clean tech is the future of the world. It is the only sustainable track. My vote is for oil from algae...it uses the existing waste for food including carbon dioxide, produces oxygen and the carbon footprint gets us almost to the 90% emission reduction needed to be at par with other developing economies. China, the 2nd worst polluter is well on its way to reducing its carbon footprint to that end. We better get on the band wagon or Chinas cost of production will so low we will not be able to compete in the near future. We caut the carbon footprint by having every household in the country with PV on the roof, all industrial and office buiilding ought to be covered with PV generating their own power then make oil from algae and add wind and solar overall the 90% cut is more than doable. The Reagan revolution crowd can think any better than he could.